Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
MIR
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
MET
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ESC
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |