Metropolitanos vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MET
0 - 0
CAR
21%
27%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 2
MET
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 7
COR
26%
27%
46%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
ANZ
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
MIN
1 - 1
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
APC
77%
17%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 1
MIL
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |