Metropolitanos vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 0
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
APC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 2
MET
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MET
1 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
BAR
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
APC
2 - 3
ARA
49%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
POR
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 2
MET
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |