Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-2
Metropolitano vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 6
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 2
MET
33%
28%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 2
PEL
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 0
LUZ
58%
24%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 2
TOM
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 1
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |