Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Metropolitano vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
MOG
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 1
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |