Metropolitano vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
MET
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
CHA
8%
17%
75%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
4 - 0
MET
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
AVA
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRU
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
CRI
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
83%
14%
3%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |