Metropolitano vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
TOM
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 6
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 2
MET
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BRU
0 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |