Metropolitano vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 2
MET
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 2
PEL
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LON
3 - 2
PEL
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LON
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |