Metropolitano vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 1
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
FOZ
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 1
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 0
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
LAJ
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
LAJ
2 - 1
VOL
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAJ
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 2
LAJ
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 2
LAJ
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |