Metropolitano vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 3
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
AVA
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MET
4 - 0
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
LAJ
4 - 4
JMA
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 1
LAJ
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
LAJ
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 1
NOV
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 1
CAC
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |