Metropolitano vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MET
4 - 1
AVA
17%
21%
63%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MET
0 - 1
FFL
14%
21%
66%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
3 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
JEC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
2 - 1
GUA
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
JEC
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |