Metropolitano vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
MET
78%
15%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
MET
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
ITU
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
3 - 1
FFL
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
3 - 0
JEC
27%
27%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |