Metropolitano vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 2
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
JEC
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |