Metropolitano vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 4
CRI
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
FFL
25%
24%
52%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
JEC
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 0
JEC
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |