Metropolitano vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
MET
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MET
0 - 3
AVA
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
6 - 1
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
6%
15%
79%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
56%
23%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
3 - 1
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
TUB
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |