Catarinense 2 Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Metropolitano vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NES
3 - 2
MET
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
MET
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
CFC
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MET
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 0
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAC
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
CRA
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 0
GUA
42%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MET
26%
24%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |