Metropolitano vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
JEC
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MET
4 - 1
AVA
17%
21%
63%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MET
0 - 1
FFL
14%
21%
66%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FFL
3 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
CHA
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
INT
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
2 - 1
GUA
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
6 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |