Metropolitano vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
MET
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
MOG
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
FFL
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
JUV
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
JUV
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |