Metropolitano vs Foz do Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 1
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 0
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
VOL
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 0
MET
42%
28%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Foz do Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 2
LAJ
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 0
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAJ
3 - 0
FOZ
64%
22%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 0
FOZ
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FOZ
4 - 5
VOL
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -2 |