Metropolitano vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
MET
3 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
MET
3 - 1
CAC
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
MET
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MET
0 - 3
ECP
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
FFL
2 - 7
PPE
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
FFL
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
CRB
5 - 1
FFL
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
BRA
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
FFL
59%
27%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |