Metropolitano vs Cruzeiro RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 3
MET
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MET
2 - 4
JUV
33%
27%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 2
MET
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MET
1 - 2
CIA
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
BRU
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
CRU
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 0
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 2
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |