Metropolitano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MET
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
MET
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRI
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRI
18%
22%
61%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 1
CRI
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 1
CHA
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |