Metropolitano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
INT
2 - 2
MET
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
LIT
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 2
MET
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
1 - 3
CRI
11%
17%
72%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
FFL
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |