Metropolitano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
51.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
FFL
25%
24%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
AVA
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 0
JEC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRI
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
3 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
CRI
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | -1 |