Metropolitano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MET
5 - 4
JEC
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
MET
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
JEC
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
5 - 4
CRI
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
CRI
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CRI
3 - 0
BRU
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |