Metropolitano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
3 - 0
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
MET
3 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FFL
5 - 1
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
IMB
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 0
BRU
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 3
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
0 - 1
CRI
23%
23%
55%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |