Metropolitano vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
3 - 0
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
MET
3 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FFL
5 - 1
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JEC
1 - 4
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 1
MET
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
IMB
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 3
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |