Metropolitano vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
2 - 0
MET
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
MET
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 0
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
1 - 3
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
TUB
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 3
CHA
14%
22%
63%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 0
TUB
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |