Metropolitano vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 0
MET
35%
24%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
MET
3 - 3
CRI
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
3 - 0
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 1
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 2
BRU
28%
23%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 0
BRU
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 1
FFL
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |