Metropolitano vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
MIR
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MET
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
MIR
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 2
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MET
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 1
URS
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |