Metropolitano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LAJ
0 - 4
MET
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 2
LON
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
JMA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
LAJ
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LON
0 - 0
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
JMA
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
LON
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 1
BOT
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |