Metropolitano vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 3
MET
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ECP
2 - 0
MET
31%
23%
45%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ECP
1 - 1
AVA
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
AVA
9%
18%
73%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
AVA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |