Metropolitano vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MET
4 - 0
JUV
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MET
1 - 4
BRU
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
CRI
19%
22%
58%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
BRU
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
JEC
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |