Metropolitano vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
FFL
15%
21%
63%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 3
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 1
IMB
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 0
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 0
AVA
14%
21%
65%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 0
AVA
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |