Metropolitan Police vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NEE
1 - 0
MET
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ENF
1 - 0
MET
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
4 - 0
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
MET
1 - 1
DUL
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
3 - 3
FOL
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 0
MER
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STA
6 - 0
WOR
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
HAV
3 - 2
WOR
66%
19%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BIL
3 - 0
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |