Metropolitan Police vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
4 - 3
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TON
2 - 0
MET
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MET
2 - 2
BIL
13%
20%
68%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
DUL
0 - 0
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HEN
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 2
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NEE
3 - 2
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
BUR
78%
15%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |