Metropolitan Police vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MET
2 - 4
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ENF
2 - 0
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 3
MET
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
MET
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MET
0 - 3
HAM
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
STA
1 - 3
HEN
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
HEN
4 - 3
WIN
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
5 - 5
HEN
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HEN
2 - 4
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
HEN
3 - 0
FAR
53%
22%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |