Metropolitan Police vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BLA
3 - 4
MET
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HEN
1 - 1
MET
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MET
0 - 2
WHI
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MET
2 - 3
TON
59%
22%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
MET
1 - 0
POO
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
HAR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
SWI
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WIM
0 - 0
HAR
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 1
DOR
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAR
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |