Metropolitan Police vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LOW
0 - 1
MET
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
ENF
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
HAR
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 1
MET
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
BIL
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
TON
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LEA
1 - 1
CAN
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 5
BOG
19%
23%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
4 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |