Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FK Epitsentr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
5º
3º
15
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
22 | 15 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 14 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 14 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 13 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 12 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
93% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Zaporizhya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
KPT
0 - 1
MEZ
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MEZ
0 - 1
POL
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 1
NYV
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FED
1 - 2
MEZ
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MEZ
0 - 1
KPT
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FK Epitsentr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FED
0 - 2
LNZ
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OBO
2 - 1
FED
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KRE
1 - 2
FED
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FED
1 - 2
MEZ
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LNZ
2 - 0
FED
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |