Metalurh Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FCM
1 - 0
MED
28%
29%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
MED
1 - 1
KRY
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
CHO
2 - 1
MED
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
KPT
1 - 1
MED
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
MED
35%
28%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ZOR
0 - 1
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MEZ
2 - 1
ZOR
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ZOR
0 - 2
VOR
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
ZOR
70%
19%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
DNI
1 - 1
ZOR
59%
24%
16%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |