Metalurh Donetsk vs Tavriya Simferopol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
VOR
2 - 0
MED
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MED
2 - 1
ILL
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 2
MED
44%
28%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
PSE
4 - 1
MED
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MET
1 - 0
MED
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tavriya Simferopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
TAV
2 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ZOR
1 - 0
TAV
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
TAV
3 - 1
KRY
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
KRY
1 - 2
TAV
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MEZ
1 - 0
TAV
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |