Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Metalurh Donetsk vs Partizan Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2009 |
MED
0 - 0
ARS
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MEZ
2 - 1
MED
37%
29%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MED
2 - 1
VOR
52%
27%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
MET
1 - 1
MED
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MED
1 - 1
DNI
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
PMI
1 - 2
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
PMI
2 - 1
SUT
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NEM
2 - 1
PMI
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SUT
1 - 1
PMI
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
PMI
0 - 2
BAT
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |