Europa League 1/64
Global 1-4
Metalurh Donetsk vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
MED
2 - 0
BOR
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MEZ
1 - 4
MED
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MED
3 - 1
DNI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
KRY
0 - 0
MED
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
MED
4 - 2
ARS
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LAZ
2 - 3
PAR
62%
21%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRG
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 2
PIA
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |