Metalurh Donetsk vs FC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SHA
1 - 1
MED
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MED
2 - 0
LVI
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MEZ
2 - 3
MED
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
DYN
1 - 0
MED
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
MED
2 - 1
TAV
49%
28%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
2 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
MEZ
2 - 0
ILL
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
0 - 3
SHA
24%
25%
52%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ILL
1 - 3
VOR
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
MET
2 - 0
ILL
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |