Metalurh Donetsk vs Arsenal Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ZOR
0 - 1
MED
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KPT
0 - 2
MED
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
MED
0 - 3
VOL
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MED
2 - 0
OBO
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 0
MED
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ARS
4 - 1
OBO
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 2
ARS
25%
27%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ARS
4 - 2
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TAV
1 - 1
ARS
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |