Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Metalurg Skopje vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurg Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
SHK
40%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
REN
1 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 0
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 4
BIR
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 0
HIB
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 2
VAL
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |