Metallurg Bekabad vs Sogdiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
10º
27
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 0
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
QIZ
0 - 2
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
XOR
3 - 1
MET
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
NAV
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 1
NAV
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
SOG
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKO
3 - 3
SOG
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BUN
0 - 2
SOG
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 2
OLM
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |