Metallurg Bekabad vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
14º
14º
27
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 39 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 35 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 33 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 22 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SOG
2 - 2
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
FKL
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MET
1 - 4
FKO
30%
27%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
NAS
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 2
DSA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 0
NEF
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 2
PAK
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
FKL
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NAS
1 - 0
NEF
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |