Metallurg Bekabad vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
44.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
10º
47
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
FKT
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 2
MET
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
NEF
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
BUN
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 2
NAV
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
BUX
59%
26%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 1
FKO
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |